A Minsky-Fisher-Koo-Keynes Theory Of Boom And Bust

The financial crisis and recession has turned economic thinking on its head. Economic textbooks which presume recessions never occur and unemployment is a voluntary decision have failed to keep up. However, luckily there have been a group of economists who have created theories that describe the world as it really is, not as they wish it was. They took key insights from the Roaring Twenties and the Depression Thirties and individually developed theories for how the economy boomed and why it went bust. There is Hyman Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis, Irving Fisher’s Debt-Deflation Spiral, Richard Koo’s Balance Sheet Recession and John Maynard Keynes theory of aggregate demand. Each explains a part of the business cycle, today I want to piece them altogether to create an overarching theory. Continue reading “A Minsky-Fisher-Koo-Keynes Theory Of Boom And Bust”

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The Irish Housing Bubble And Bust

The recent housing bubble in Ireland defied the laws of economics. Supply and demand rose simultaneously, the market rose to absurd heights before crashing to unheard of lows. It went from an extreme of being able to sell a house no matter how high the price, to one where you can’t sell a house no matter how low you drop the price. According to everything I have been taught about economics, this could not happen. Textbooks are useless in understanding the bubble. According to them the price is always right, that left alone the free market will make everyone better off. Bubbles or recessions don’t happen. Any exceptions are temporary; it’s not possible for a decade of boom to be replaced by a decade of bust. But that is what has happened. Continue reading “The Irish Housing Bubble And Bust”